CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2022-12-04T01:25:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2022-12-04T01:25ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/22636/-1
CME Note: This CME is seen faintly to the East in SOHO LASCO C2, C3, and STEREO A. The exact source is not clear, however one potential source of this CME is a filament eruption seen near N28E25 just NE of a large coronal hole starting around 2022-12-03T23:55Z, best seen in SDO/AIA 304 and 193. There is some deflection seen in SDO/AIA 094 to the SE of the eruption.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-12-07T03:00Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 20.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 51.87 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2022-12-04T23:08Z
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